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2024-12-13 05:36:31

CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.Securities Daily: Vigorously boosting consumption is the focus of the current macro policy. The article said that consumption is the ballast stone for stable economic operation. However, we must also see that residents' consumer confidence still needs to be enhanced. Therefore, it is necessary to take multiple measures simultaneously, constantly consolidate the foundation of consumption growth, enhance residents' willingness and ability to consume, and promote the sustained recovery of the consumer market. First, increase residents' income through multiple channels and improve their spending power. Second, further support the trade-in of consumer goods. Third, promote the upgrading and expansion of service consumption. Promoting consumption is the main starting point for expanding domestic demand, and boosting consumption is the focus of macroeconomic policy. We firmly believe that with the continuous efforts of various policy initiatives, consumer confidence will continue to increase and consumption potential will continue to be released.Securities Daily: Vigorously boosting consumption is the focus of the current macro policy. The article said that consumption is the ballast stone for stable economic operation. However, we must also see that residents' consumer confidence still needs to be enhanced. Therefore, it is necessary to take multiple measures simultaneously, constantly consolidate the foundation of consumption growth, enhance residents' willingness and ability to consume, and promote the sustained recovery of the consumer market. First, increase residents' income through multiple channels and improve their spending power. Second, further support the trade-in of consumer goods. Third, promote the upgrading and expansion of service consumption. Promoting consumption is the main starting point for expanding domestic demand, and boosting consumption is the focus of macroeconomic policy. We firmly believe that with the continuous efforts of various policy initiatives, consumer confidence will continue to increase and consumption potential will continue to be released.


Making it easier for the people to see a doctor, the construction of a close-knit county medical community has entered the fast lane. According to the news of the National Health and Wellness Commission, up to now, more than 2,100 counties and districts across the country have carried out the construction of a close-knit county medical community, which has achieved a comprehensive push by the province. County medical community refers to the county medical service system with county hospitals as the leader, township hospitals as the hub and village clinics as the foundation, and forms a service community, a responsibility community, a benefit community and a management community. Since the beginning of this year, China has accelerated the sinking of personnel-centered resources in county medical communities, implemented the sinking of service, technology and management at the same time, and carried out mobile medical treatment and mobile consultation. More than 90% of counties in the country have achieved full coverage of county-level hospital personnel stationed in township hospitals. All localities have accelerated the construction of resource sharing centers in counties such as medical imaging, medical examination and ECG diagnosis, and promoted grassroots inspection, superior diagnosis and mutual recognition of results, so that people can enjoy convenient and high-quality inspection and diagnosis services at the grassroots level. At present, the image center has covered more than 70% of township hospitals in China. (CCTV)Morgan Stanley upgraded the rating of Shandong Gold H shares to over-allocation, with a target price of HK$ 22.20.The Central Meteorological Observatory issued a blue gale warning at 18: 00 on December 11. It is estimated that there will be about 5 northerly winds and gusts of 6-8 in eastern Xinjiang, central and western Inner Mongolia, Hexi, Ningxia and northwestern Shaanxi from 20: 00 on December 11 to 20: 00 on December 12. There will be 7-8 northeast winds with gusts of 9 in the southern part of the East China Sea, the Taiwan Province Strait, the east of Taiwan Province, bashi channel and the northern and central parts of the South China Sea.


The latest 24-hour situation tracking of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict (December 12) The conflict situation: 1. The French President considers deploying a European peacekeeping force in Ukraine. 2. Uzbekistan claims that the city of Zaporoge was attacked by Russian troops, resulting in 6 deaths and 22 injuries. The Ukrainian military said it attacked the oil depot in the Bryansk region of Russia. 4. Russian Ministry of Defence: Russian air defense forces destroyed 14 Ukrainian drones overnight. 5. Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs: On December 10th, Ukraine attacked the car in which the experts of the International Atomic Energy Agency were riding, and the attack occurred near the nuclear power plant controlled by Ukraine. 6. Russian media: The Russian side said that it was attacked by six ATACMS missiles today. Russia said it would respond to today's ATACMS missile attack. 7. Governor of Belgorod, Russia: Ukrainian troops fired more than 30 shells in Belgorod within 24 hours, causing no casualties or property losses. 8. US officials: Russia may launch another experimental "Oreshnik" missile to Ukraine in the next few days. The United States focuses on providing Ukraine with an air defense system to defend against Russian missiles and drones. Others: 1. Polish Prime Minister Tusk: He will visit Ukraine in early 2025. 2. Hungarian Prime Minister: Zelensky categorically rejected the ceasefire on December 25th. 3. German Chancellor Scholz: The Ukrainian energy sector needs a lot of private investment. 4. Sources: NATO may raise its expenditure target to as high as 3% of GDP. 5. Diplomat: The EU envoy failed to reach an agreement on the 15th round of sanctions against Russia. 6. Ukrainian Finance Minister: Ukraine can resist at least until the middle of next year without American assistance. 7. US Treasury Secretary Yellen: US sanctions against Russia "continue to tighten" and have tried to curb Russian income through innovative ways. 8. Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs: The relationship with the United States is in jeopardy, calling on Russian citizens not to travel to the United States. Russia has asked the United States to agree to appoint a new ambassador to the United States. 9. Two sources: Ukrainian President Zelensky used his first meeting with Donald Trump since the US presidential election to show that Ukraine needs security guarantees in any negotiations to end the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.Robin Hood, a online celebrity brokerage, managed assets of $195 billion in November. In November, the stock exchange was $147.1 billion.Sunac China's domestic debt restructuring has entered a critical stage. "Sunac China has a large number of domestic creditors and a complex structure. Within seven working days, two domestic debt restructurings were approved, reflecting the creditors' recognition of the plan. " People close to Sunac China said. "The biggest feature of Sunac China's restructuring plan is that creditors can choose a variety of restructuring methods, and creditors can choose the appropriate method according to their own capital characteristics." Liu Shui, director of enterprise research at the China Central Finger Research Institute, said that the scheme can reduce the debt scale, greatly extend the debt repayment period, help to repair the company's balance sheet and create conditions for the improvement of the company's operating fundamentals. It is understood that Sunac China is one of the first real estate enterprises in the industry to propose an overall solution to domestic debt. Before that, the industry had experienced a series of debt-conversion explorations such as debt extension, debt restructuring, reverse mixed reform and bankruptcy restructuring, among which debt extension was the first choice for most real estate enterprises to convert debt. (Securities Daily)

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